This week’s falls could be a Godsend for the season

After watching the dust settle across the region for far too long, the skies finally opened up this week, delivering a handy, steady dose of rain exactly where we needed it most. For producers across Tamworth, Gunnedah, and the wider New England and North West regions, the downpour has been described as an absolute godsend, bringing a massive sigh of relief and a much-needed glimmer of hope for the winter season ahead.
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According to the Bureau of Meteorology, a solid west-to-east front swept across the state, dropping a beautiful 25mm to 50mm of steady rain over large parts of New South Wales. While it’s not a total drought-breaker just yet, local producers say this timing could be the golden ticket to saving the season, provided the weather plays ball over the next few weeks.

Warm dirt and big hopes

The real magic right now isn’t just the water in the gauge, it’s the ground temperature. Normally, by late May, the cold and frost have already set in, shutting down plant growth. But right now, the ground is remarkably warm.
Even the most experienced locals have been staggered by how quickly the country dried out after Christmas. Having spent my life working as both an agent and a producer on the Tablelands, I've never seen anything quite like it.
It was very dry in 2019, but the water slowly dried up then. I don’t think I have ever seen where we have had absolutely no run-off rain since before Christmas.

But despite the tough conditions, this season has thrown a massive curveball for the history books: the markets have stayed incredibly strong.
It's certainly been the biggest sell-off I have ever seen in this part of the world, but buyer demand has held firm. I just can’t believe so many stock have been sold and the prices have held up so well.

There's still time to fire up the tractors!

Down in the dirt, this rain is already shifting mindsets from destocking to planting with people now talking of winter oats. For producers who took a gamble and sowed into dry dirt a week or two ago, this rain will perfectly link up the moisture profile. For others who copped 50mm or more, the tractors will be rolling the moment they can get onto the paddocks.

The million-dollar month ahead

Now, all eyes are on the horizon. The next four weeks are absolutely crucial.
If the current warm trend holds, the region could see a late winter forage crop shoot out of the ground, giving livestock the feed they need to get through the cooler months. The only major hurdle now will be if those snapping, bitter winter frosts arrive too early.

But for today, the creeks have a trickle, the dust has settled, and the local agricultural community is moving forward with a renewed spring in their step.

How did your rain gauges finish up this week? I hope you're getting the tractors out once the topsoil drys.